{"venue":"kalshi","id":"KXAIINCIDENTREPORT-26SEP-27JAN01","title":"Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027","event":"KXAIINCIDENTREPORT-26SEP","event_title":null,"slug":"KXAIINCIDENTREPORT-26SEP","closed":false,"first_seen":1794101528,"changed_at":null,"seen":1794101528,"price":0.03,"vol":100,"cat":"tech","end_ts":1798779540,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaiincidentreport","fields":[{"f":"title","label":"Title","value":"Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?"},{"f":"subtitle","label":"Outcome","value":"Before Jan 1, 2027"},{"f":"rules_primary","label":"Rules","value":"If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes."},{"f":"rules_secondary","label":"More rules","value":"A qualifying federal law must require external reporting of serious incidents or dangerous near misses involving AI models or systems. This includes events causing or threatening serious physical, economic, environmental, privacy, or security harm, as well as significant loss of control or compromise of model security. The law's reporting trigger or definitions must identify serious, critical, material, significant, or catastrophic incidents, or set a harm or risk threshold excluding routine low-impact events. A broader reporting duty qualifies if it includes such a defined category. Confidential reports to an authority or designated external recipient and public disclosure both qualify.\n\nInternal reporting alone, voluntary programs, routine errors, and capability or risk assessments without an incident or dangerous near miss do not qualify. A general cybersecurity reporting law without an AI-specific reporting duty does not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification.\n\nAn example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925)."},{"f":"close_time","label":"Close time","value":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z"},{"f":"expiration_time","label":"Expiration","value":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z"},{"f":"early_close","label":"Early close","value":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."}],"labels":{"title":"Title","subtitle":"Outcome","rules_primary":"Rules","rules_secondary":"More rules","close_time":"Close time","expiration_time":"Expiration","early_close":"Early close"},"changes":[],"edits":0,"versions":[{"n":1,"from":1794101528,"to":null,"fields":{"title":"Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?","subtitle":"Before Jan 1, 2027","rules_primary":"If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"A qualifying federal law must require external reporting of serious incidents or dangerous near misses involving AI models or systems. This includes events causing or threatening serious physical, economic, environmental, privacy, or security harm, as well as significant loss of control or compromise of model security. The law's reporting trigger or definitions must identify serious, critical, material, significant, or catastrophic incidents, or set a harm or risk threshold excluding routine low-impact events. A broader reporting duty qualifies if it includes such a defined category. Confidential reports to an authority or designated external recipient and public disclosure both qualify.\n\nInternal reporting alone, voluntary programs, routine errors, and capability or risk assessments without an incident or dangerous near miss do not qualify. A general cybersecurity reporting law without an AI-specific reporting duty does not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification.\n\nAn example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925).","close_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","early_close":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."}}],"related":[{"venue":"kalshi","id":"KXAIINCIDENTREPORT-26SEP-27JUL01","title":"Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jul 1, 2027?: Before Jul 1, 2027","price":0.335,"vol":6.47,"closed":0,"edits":0}],"reports":0,"series":{"ticker":"KXAIINCIDENTREPORT","title":"Mandatory serious AI-incident reporting","category":"Politics","frequency":"one_off","fee_type":"quadratic","fee_multiplier":1,"sources":[{"name":"the White House","url":"https://www.whitehouse.gov"},{"name":"Library of Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/nomination/117th-congress/1680?q=%7B%22search%22%3A%5B%22philip+jefferson%22%2C%22philip%22%2C%22jefferson%22%5D%7D&s=4&r=1"}],"prohibitions":["Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.","Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract."],"terms_url":"https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/BILL.pdf","contract_url":"https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/BILL.pdf","source_ts":1794013781,"first_seen":1794180066},"seriesChanges":[]}