Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?: Yes

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 18 h ago
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   Title

   Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

   Outcome

   Yes

   Rules

   If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails.

   This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

   Close time

   Nov 3, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 3, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.