Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 be above 7.21%?: Above 7.21%

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
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   Title

   Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 be above 7.21%?

   Outcome

   Above 7.21%

   Rules

   If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 is above

   7.21%, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Nov 5, 2026.

   For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.

   Close time

   Nov 5, 2026, 16:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 12, 2026, 17:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.