Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.79% by Jan 1, 2027?: 5.8% or above

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 33 h ago
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   Title

   Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.79% by Jan 1, 2027?

   Outcome

   5.8% or above

   Rules

   If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.79% on any business day between Sep 30, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   This market covers the period between Sep 30, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 3, 2027, 00:35 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

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