Will the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 be above 5.8%?: Above 5.8%

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 be above 5.8%?

   Outcome

   Above 5.8%

   Rules

   If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”

   Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q3 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.

   Close time

   Nov 3, 2026, 15:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 10, 2026, 17:30 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.