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Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?: Above 190
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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Closes Nov 3, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
- Outcome
- Above 190
- Rules
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- Close time
- Nov 3, 2026, 14:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Feb 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
allowed
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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