Will Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?

   Outcome

   Before Jan 1, 2028

   Rules

   If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies. Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify. Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify. Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2028, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2028, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the country agrees to or announces the action.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.