Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?: Yes
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Yes price and rules edits
Resolution
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Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?
- Outcome
- Yes
- Rules
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters. Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution). The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.
- Close time
- Nov 5, 2026, 04:59 UTC
- Expiration
- Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire early if the referendum is officially held.
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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