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Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?: Yes

Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
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contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 5, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 5, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?
    Outcome
    Yes
    Rules

    If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters. Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution). The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.

    Close time
    Nov 5, 2026, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the referendum is officially held.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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