Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

   Outcome

   Hike 1-25bps

   Rules

   If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

   Close time

   Dec 17, 2026, 13:14 UTC

   Expiration

   Dec 24, 2026, 13:15 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.