Will Polina Shuvalova be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
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   Title

   Will Polina Shuvalova be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026?

   Outcome

   Polina Shuvalova

   Rules

   If Polina Shuvalova is rated top 10 on the December 2026 FIDE Top Women Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows:
   Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher
   Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher
   Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name

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   Close time

   Jan 7, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 7, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire once the event occurs.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.