Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 2300 ?: Above 2300

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 22 h ago
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   Title

   Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 2300 ?

   Outcome

   Above 2300

   Rules

   If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 2300 , then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.

   The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.

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   Close time

   Nov 8, 2026, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 15, 2026, 06:30 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.