Will Nebraska US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?
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Yes price and rules edits
Resolution
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Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
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- Title
- Will Nebraska US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?
- Outcome
- Nebraska US Senate
- Rules
If Nebraska US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
- Close time
- Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire early if all election results are certified.
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
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