Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in November 2026?: Above 3.4%

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in November 2026?

   Outcome

   Above 3.4%

   Rules

   If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

   Close time

   Dec 10, 2026, 13:25 UTC

   Expiration

   Dec 17, 2026, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.