Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 115?: Above 115

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
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   Title

   Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 115?

   Outcome

   Above 115

   Rules

   If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Order Delivery Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.

   The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Order Delivery Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=223d35ea-7b0e-4d4d-aff6-b14e41a778b2. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Uber Eats, DoorDash, Grubhub and Instacart, weighted 25% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices.

   Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

   Close time

   Nov 8, 2026, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 15, 2026, 06:30 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.