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Will the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?

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Yes price
5.2¢
checked
24h volume
$96k
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Feb 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Feb 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?
    Outcome
    48
    Rules

    If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

    Close time
    Feb 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Feb 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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