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Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
    Outcome
    South Sudan
    Rules

    If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in South Sudan — a citizen of South Sudan diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within South Sudan do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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