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Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?: Above 4.50%

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Dec 9, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
    Outcome
    Above 4.50%
    Rules

    If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

    Close time
    Dec 9, 2026, 18:55 UTC
    Expiration
    Dec 16, 2026, 19:05 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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