RulesWatch
Dashboard
KalshiEconomyTrading

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2027?: Before July 2027

Open on Kalshi
Share
Post on X
Badge and embed Download history (JSON)
Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jul 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jul 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2027?
    Outcome
    Before July 2027
    Rules

    If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The announcement must occur after market issuance and by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. The announcement date controls, regardless of when the reduction takes effect. Announcements outside regularly scheduled FOMC meetings count.

    Each deadline is evaluated separately. A qualifying announcement may cause multiple markets to resolve to Yes.

    Close time
    Jul 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jul 1, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Early close

    If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Kalshi sometimes explains a ruling on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.