KalshiEconomyTrading

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?: Hike >25bps

Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
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contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Dec 9, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?
    Outcome
    Hike >25bps
    Rules

    If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No.

    If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.

    Close time
    Dec 9, 2026, 18:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Mar 10, 2027, 19:01 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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