Will Joe Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will Joe Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

   Outcome

   Joe Biden

   Rules

   If Joe Biden has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Charges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.

   Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if formal charges are filed.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.