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Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.50%?: Above 4.50%

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2028
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.50%?
    Outcome
    Above 4.50%
    Rules

    If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2028, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 8, 2028, 06:30 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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