KalshiPoliticsTrading

Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?: Yes

Yes price
26¢
checked
24h volume
$2.5k
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 3, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 3, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?
    Outcome
    Yes
    Rules

    If Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. A Republican candidate is a candidate listed with the Republican Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Republican. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails.

    This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details.

    Close time
    Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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