Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million?: 125 million and above

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
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   Title

   Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million?

   Outcome

   125 million and above

   Rules

   If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

   Close time

   Nov 3, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 3, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the official vote count is certified.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.