Exactly 1 people

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Exactly 1 people

   Outcome

   Exactly 1

   Rules

   If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period. If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times). If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role. Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.

   If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving. Vacancies do not count as individuals serving. Posthumous designations or honorary titles do not count.

   Close time

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.