Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 31 h ago
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   Title

   Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

   Outcome

   Avigdor Lieberman

   Rules

   If Avigdor Lieberman becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

   If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

   Close time

   Oct 27, 2027, 14:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Oct 27, 2027, 14:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.