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Inflation surge in 2026?: At least 6.5%

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Feb 14, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Feb 14, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Inflation surge in 2026?
    Outcome
    At least 6.5%
    Rules

    If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Close time
    Feb 14, 2027, 13:29 UTC
    Expiration
    Feb 28, 2027, 13:31 UTC
    Early close

    If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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