Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Closes Oct 31, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Best AI in Oct 2026?
- Outcome
- Gemini
- Rules
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Close time
- Oct 31, 2026, 14:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Dec 1, 2026, 14:00 UTC
- Early close
allowed
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
Kalshi sometimes explains a ruling on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.
No links added.