KalshiWeatherTrading

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 31, 2026?: 50° to 51°

Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 1, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 1, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 31, 2026?
    Outcome
    50° to 51°
    Rules

    If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 31, 2026, is between 50-51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.

    Reading weather data
    Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
    Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.

    If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.

    Close time
    Nov 1, 2026, 06:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 7, 2026, 14:00 UTC
    Early close

    The Last Trading Time will be 11:59 PM local time on October 31, 2026 regardless of any data releases or events occurring. Expiration will occur on the sooner of the first 7:00 or 8:00
    AM ET following the release of the data for October 31, 2026, or one week after October 31, 2026.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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