How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least 25

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 26 h ago
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   Title

   How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

   Outcome

   At least 25

   Rules

   If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives. If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.

   Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased. Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.

   The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

   For the purposes of this contract, Neuralink brain-computer interface implants include the following:

   The N1 chip system and any successor devices developed by Neuralink
   Devices surgically implanted in the brain or nervous system designed to record neural activity and/or stimulate neural tissue
   Both fully functional and partially functional implanted devices
   Devices implanted for medical treatment, research, or enhancement purposes

   The following do NOT count as Neuralink implants:

   External devices, headsets, or non-implanted brain-computer interfaces
   Devices developed by other companies, even if similar in function
   Neuralink devices implanted in animals
   Theoretical, planned, or projected implant numbers without confirmation of actual procedures

   If Neuralink merges with a different company or changes its name, the Contract will continue to track the successor entity.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.