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Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?: Donald Trump

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Dec 31, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Dec 31, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
    Outcome
    Donald Trump
    Rules

    If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    If two or more listed candidates are named as laureates of the Nobel Peace Prize, each of their markets will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, rounded down to the nearest cent, where N is the number of listed candidates named as laureates, and all other markets will resolve to No. Laureates who are not listed are not counted, and a listed candidate made up of more than one person counts as one candidate.

    This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    Close time
    Dec 31, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Dec 31, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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