KalshiTech and scienceTrading

OpenAI market share this week?: Above 21.0%

Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 2, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 2, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    OpenAI market share this week?
    Outcome
    Above 21.0%
    Rules

    If OpenAI scores above 21.0% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 26, 2026.

    If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Close time
    Nov 2, 2026, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 2, 2026, 04:59 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Kalshi sometimes explains a ruling on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.