Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?

   Outcome

   Ralph Fiennes

   Rules

   If Ralph Fiennes performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   For the purposes of this Contract, Ralph Fiennes satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:

   Official Announcement:
   Ralph Fiennes is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR

   Actual Performance:
   Ralph Fiennes appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.

   Additional clarification(s):

   If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ralph Fiennes was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”

   If multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Ralph Fiennes is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b

   The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:
   (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Ralph Fiennes being announced or performing in M, or
   (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2031, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 1, 2031, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.