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Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

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Yes price
18¢
checked
24h volume
$276
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 3, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 3, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
    Outcome
    New Hampshire
    Rules

    If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Certified official results are used, subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and accelerated-resolution provisions.

    For ranked-choice voting, the vote shares in the last round actually conducted are used.

    Close time
    Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market may close and expire early in accordance with the contract rules.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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