Yes price and rules edits
Resolution
Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Will Justin Bieber release a new song 2026?
- Outcome
- Justin Bieber
- Rules
If Justin Bieber releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first released during the time period. Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean/explicit versions of existing tracks, remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, or reproductions of songs already on Spotify do not qualify as "new." Songs released in a new language count as new releases. Cosmetic changes like title edits, artwork updates, or re-uploads of the same audio do not constitute new releases. If a release is withdrawn after appearing on Spotify, it still qualifies if verifiably public at any point during the time period. The effective release time is the first verified moment of public availability, regardless of displayed metadata dates. Region-limited or staggered releases qualify once publicly available in any official Spotify market. If the artist is deceased, posthumous releases attributed to them as primary or featured performer still qualify.
- Close time
- Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire early if the release appears on Spotify.
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
No links added.