KalshiTech and scienceTrading
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 170
Open on Kalshi
Share
Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Outcome
- Above 170
- Rules
If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Close time
- Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Jan 7, 2027, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
allowed
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
Kalshi sometimes explains a ruling on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.
No links added.