Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?: Before 2027

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?

   Outcome

   Before 2027

   Rules

   If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Clarification (12/18/25):  For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue. A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement. The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party. For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.