Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027?: Before 2027

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 30 h ago
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   Title

   Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027?

   Outcome

   Before 2027

   Rules

   If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   A "try to fire" includes **any** of the following:

   - The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;
   - Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;
   - Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;
   - The White House officially announces termination;
   - Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination;
   - Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal

   The following do **NOT** qualify:

   - Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired;
   - Expressions of dissatisfaction;
   - Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;
   - Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person;
   - Statements by other officials unless directed by the President;
   - Unsent letters ordering termination

   This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the President attempts to fire the position holder.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

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