Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 38,000 in 2026?: At least 38,000

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 38,000 in 2026?

   Outcome

   At least 38,000

   Rules

   If the value of S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX) is at least 38,000 from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The market resolves based on the value of the S&P/TSX Composite Index as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed 38,000 at any single point from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach 38,000 at any point from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.

   If no data is available from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.