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Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.6%?: Above 25.6%

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jul 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jul 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.6%?
    Outcome
    Above 25.6%
    Rules

    If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.

    The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP

    “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.

    Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.

    Close time
    Jul 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jul 8, 2027, 05:30 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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