RulesWatch
Dashboard
KalshiEconomyTrading

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.57% on Nov 2, 2026?: 4.58% or above

Open on Kalshi
Share
Post on X
Badge and embed Download history (JSON)
Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 2, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 2, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.57% on Nov 2, 2026?
    Outcome
    4.58% or above
    Rules

    If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.57% on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 2, 2026, or one week following Nov 2, 2026.

    Close time
    Nov 2, 2026, 20:30 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 4, 2026, 06:05 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Kalshi sometimes explains a ruling on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.