KalshiEconomyClosed
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Nov 2, 2026?: 4.87% or above
Open on Kalshi
Share
Yes price
1¢
checked
24h volume
$200
contracts, $1 each at most
Ended
Nov 2, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 2
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Closes Nov 2, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Nov 2, 2026?
- Outcome
- 4.87% or above
- Rules
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 2, 2026, or one week following Nov 2, 2026.
- Close time
- Nov 2, 2026, 20:30 UTC
- Expiration
- Nov 4, 2026, 06:05 UTC
- Early close
allowed
- 1First recordedNov 2, 2026, 20:40 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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