Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 4 days ago
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   Title

   Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?

   Outcome

   8

   Rules

   If the Democratic party has won exactly 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Virginia, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.

   Close time

   Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if all seats have been called and additional recounts/by-elections will not affect the market outcome.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.