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Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?: Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes price
19¢
checked
24h volume
$153
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?
    Outcome
    Before Jan 1, 2027
    Rules

    If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution providing for the expulsion of Representative Ilhan Omar (D-MN) from the United States House of Representatives, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    This includes:
    Roll call votes
    Recorded votes
    Yea-and-nay votes
    Electronic votes (in the House)
    Division/standing votes

    The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
    Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote
    Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote
    Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Committee on Ethics
    Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling
    Deemed passage without an actual vote
    A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
    A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
    A vote on an amendment to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
    A vote on a resolution that only censures or reprimands Ilhan Omar, removes her from committee assignments, or authorizes or directs an Ethics Committee inquiry or investigation of her
    A vote on whether to administer the oath of office to, or to seat, Ilhan Omar

    For clarity, each of the following DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion, regardless of the outcome of the vote:
    A vote on adopting a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
    A vote on a motion to table, refer, or postpone a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
    A vote on whether the House will consider a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, or on ordering the previous question on it
    A vote on a special rule that specifically refers to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, including ordering the previous question on that rule, whether the rule provides for the resolution's consideration, lays it on the table, refers it, or delays or waives the time for its consideration

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:22 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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