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Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI?: Before 2030

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2030
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2030
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI?
    Outcome
    Before 2030
    Rules

    If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2030, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 1, 2030, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:24 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Kalshi sometimes explains a ruling on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

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