Yes price
5.5¢
checked
24h volume
$810
dollars traded
Ends
Mar 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 1
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Ends Mar 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
- Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occursOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf- End date
- Mar 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- 1First recordedNov 1, 2026, 06:10 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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