PolymarketOtherTrading

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Yes price
81¢
checked
24h volume
$242
dollars traded
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Rules

    This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

    - Trump out as President
    - China invades Taiwan
    - Xi Jinping out
    - U.S. invades Iran
    - Iranian regime falls
    - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
    - Jeffrey Epstein alive
    - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
    - Russia invades a NATO country
    - Trump acquires Greenland
    - 9.0 or above earthquake
    - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
    - Major meteor strike (250kt+)

    Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

    The full rules for this market can be found here:
    https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf

    End date
    Dec 31, 2026, 16:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Polymarket sometimes posts a clarification on Discord or X before it edits the market, or without editing it. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.