Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 29 h ago
   Read the current rules

   Question

   Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

   Rules

   This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

   This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

   The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

   This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

   Resolution source

   https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel

   End date

   Jan 1, 2027, 05:00 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.