PolymarketWorldTrading
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Part of Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
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Yes price
3.9¢
checked
24h volume
$40
dollars traded
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 1
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
- Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
- End date
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- 1First recordedNov 1, 2026, 08:10 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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