Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 h ago
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   Question

   Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

   For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

   Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti

   The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

   End date

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedNov 1, 2026, 08:10 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.