PolymarketEconomyTrading

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?

Part of What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
Yes price
33¢
checked
24h volume
$8
dollars traded
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
    Rules

    This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

    If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

    If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

    If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

    The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."

    Resolution source
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
    End date
    Dec 31, 2026, 21:00 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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